Michael Pachter Expects Nintendo Switch to Sell 8 Million Units at Launch; Pricing & Lack of Third-Party Support Might Cause Sales to Slow Down
Regin OlimberioWedbush Securities analyst Michael Pachter measures just between 6 to 8 million Nintendo Switch units will sell upon launch though it might still grow exponentially after the launch. Nintendo Switch has sold out its initial pre-orders in the North America, UK and even Japan, but it is not so flashy according to Pachter.
The analyst also weighed several factors that leads to Nintendo Switch market performance. Lackluster third-party support and high price point tops them.
On a positive note, first-party support is really big this time around, Pachter said in a GamerTag Radio interview. The Switch sports the biggest games from Nintendo themselves and third-parties might be observing for the meantime before jumping into action. When Nintendo Switch sells good, third-party games will start to flow in.
Regarding the Nintendo Switch pricing, Pachter believes that something isn't right. Rivals PlayStation 4 and Xbox One have significantly dropped their prices over the course of years to compete with Nintendo Switch's $299.99 tag. Xbox One cost $500 and PlayStation 4 at $400 back in 2013, DualShockers reported.
Pachter also explained why Nintendo Switch will start a decent sale of 6 to 8 million then slowly take pace. First, hardcore Nintendo fans will definitely buy the idea of a portable console. Second, a fraction of Xbox One and PlayStation owners might also buy the console considering that they won't really mind third-party games.
In the end, the whole Nintendo Switch business model will fall on the pricing itself. A $300 console is a gamble along the way because Nintendo will still definitely need third-party games to justify the cost.
In the total analogy of what Nintendo Switch sales will look like in the long run: sales will start strong, but will most likely slow down in the following months. Sales is expected to offshoot once again when third-party support comes in.
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